LONG TERM FORECAST


The ICAO forecasting application is a one stop solution for planning and optimizations needs of all states and aviation industry stakeholders. Forecasts available in the application are estimated using state of the art econometric and statistical models approved by ICAO council and ADAP member states. With its comprehensive modules, the application enables users to generate customized forecasts for traffic (i.e. passengers, RPK, and load factors) and operations (i.e. flight departures and ASK) at multiple levels of granularity.


PRODUCTS

Long Term Forecast is comprised of three modules, each of which has multiple sub modules.
Air Traffic: Air traffic forecasts are estimated using econometric modeling which uses most important determinants of air traffic demand to predict future demand. Forecasts are available for up to 30 years.
Fleet: Fleet forecasts by category of aircraft are estimated using comprehensive statistical modeling. The forecasts are available for up to 30 years in the future. These forecasts reflect the minimum number of fleet required to service forecasted traffic demand.
Personnel: Personnel forecasts include required number of pilots, maintenance technicians, air traffic controllers, and cabin crew to meet operational needs. Forecasts are available by up to 30 years and include total personnel and new personnel forecasts.